Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 389.393087 442.845758 502.451042 574.114411 658.290617 754.454517 873.237760
2025-09-21 308.634566 377.780777 462.018917 573.273459 717.952014 901.953211 1157.278026
2025-09-28 255.534780 327.188218 419.401948 548.682127 728.334238 973.846864 1343.078975
2025-10-05 234.168636 311.714005 416.393871 571.132636 799.456807 1132.902796 1674.083430
2025-10-12 219.158266 301.688288 417.826807 597.734848 877.916112 1312.779326 2070.891411
2025-10-19 200.907335 284.317442 405.814081 601.584033 920.844378 1443.269206 2413.703303
2025-10-26 181.370256 262.607697 384.385660 587.224785 931.267034 1520.602653 2678.326628
2025-11-02 165.956912 245.354694 367.547881 577.424073 946.740869 1607.445934 2977.410140
2025-11-09 158.096347 238.862416 366.629895 593.315491 1008.204111 1786.177739 3498.275178
2025-11-16 147.415794 226.791236 355.286467 589.601136 1033.103420 1899.292622 3908.201858
2025-11-23 137.284502 214.673635 342.592053 581.760942 1048.669470 1995.821753 4304.308604
2025-11-30 130.044611 206.706997 336.115847 584.299541 1084.425283 2139.686467 4849.856987
2025-12-07 120.844290 194.888443 322.236945 572.097357 1090.259840 2223.651691 5279.496720
2025-12-14 114.102172 186.813023 314.335287 570.607322 1118.504423 2364.144207 5905.448100
2025-12-21 104.854299 173.600764 295.932712 546.221209 1093.753775 2375.725160 6172.629879
2025-12-28 102.662153 172.819341 300.395534 568.543154 1175.922211 2663.602011 7359.900561
2026-01-04 101.059476 172.949385 306.529022 595.002105 1271.926524 3008.695177 8870.972601
2026-01-11 96.900285 167.992102 302.355704 598.830214 1314.525046 3221.247490 10023.618995
2026-01-18 91.098210 159.518837 290.548369 584.549060 1310.225031 3302.106032 10732.016580
2026-01-25 86.241355 152.536919 281.192100 574.801433 1316.115735 3414.329019 11612.940710
2026-02-01 84.295596 151.063709 282.909442 590.606689 1391.246841 3752.772510 13584.832643
2026-02-08 80.617129 145.924494 276.614038 586.912513 1413.419659 3931.402469 14959.670704
2026-02-15 76.829739 140.329053 268.938650 579.114833 1423.148839 4072.458767 16239.820790